Holdings Health v3 Sample

點位:2026-08-26 Asia/Taipei 10/10 coverage

平行、read-only、decision support;E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY 不代表歷史 E7 lifecycle,auto_order=false,production=false。

首頁摘要 Recent Buy Risk:0050, 2472, 4906, 4931, 5425, 8042 | Closest to E7 Exit:8042, 4906, 5425, 4931, 2472

0050 元大台灣50 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop61.9106
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop61.5
whole_position_raw_initial_stop61.2786
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop61.0
runner_level105.9
trailing_level_raw102.6786
trailing_level_tick102.5
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price65.132
atr141.6107
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop61.9106
tick_rounded_reference_stop61.5
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares1463.0
broker_average_price64.5
position_id0
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close105.9
daily_change1.44
atr141.6107
ma20103.655
ma60104.3025
ma10099.4355
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceYF

Early Warning

v2_healthnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:NOW🔥;0050 是台灣最具代表性的 ETF,追蹤「FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index」,由台灣證券交易所與 FTSE 合作編製,篩選市值最大的前 50 家上市公司,採市值加權。自 2003 年掛牌以來,已成為台灣被動投資的旗艦標的。;近期重大催化劑(2026);1. 金管會放寬單一個股持股上限(2026/04/23):國內股票型基金
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.

2330 台積電 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop
whole_position_raw_initial_stop2221.5657
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop2220.0
runner_level2415.0
trailing_level_raw2339.2857
trailing_level_tick2335.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

statusNO_POSITIVE_LATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
whole_position_fallbackMANAGEMENT_REFERENCE

Position

quantity_shares200.0
broker_average_price2297.28
position_id1
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close2415.0
daily_change0.62
atr1437.8571
ma202379.25
ma602383.8333
ma1002302.2
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPROVEN
summary位階:NOW 🔥 | 2026Q1 EPS 22.08 元(2026E 預估 ~90~95 元);當前股價 2,410(2026-06-18),P/E 2026E ~25~27x,P/E 2027E ~20~22x;核心驅動力:AI 需求驅動先進製程超級擴產循環;台積電是全球唯一能穩定量產 N2/A16 等最先進製程的晶圓代工廠,也是 AI 晶片(GPU、A
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_source
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.; No positive latest BUY lot evidence available; whole-position risk uses MANAGEMENT_REFERENCE.

2404 漢唐 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop
whole_position_raw_initial_stop1013.7529
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop1010.0
runner_level1091.61
trailing_level_raw1002.1429
trailing_level_tick1000.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

statusNO_POSITIVE_LATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
whole_position_fallbackMANAGEMENT_REFERENCE

Position

quantity_shares800.0
broker_average_price1091.61
position_id2
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close1080.0
daily_change0.93
atr1438.9286
ma201108.25
ma601188.3333
ma1001121.89
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:NOW 🔥 — 台積電超級擴產循環直接受惠;核心驅動力:台積電CapEx歷史新高帶動廠務工程爆發;漢唐是台積電最大無塵室及廠務工程供應商,台灣12吋晶圓廠市佔率70%。;1. 台積電CapEx進入超級循環:2026年資本支出580億美元(上緣),2027年720億美元,2028年840億美元。美國Arizona P2進入密集施工期、P3正式發包、台灣F
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_source
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.; No positive latest BUY lot evidence available; whole-position risk uses MANAGEMENT_REFERENCE.

2472 立隆電 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop197.6097
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop197.0
whole_position_raw_initial_stop147.8757
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop147.5
runner_level218.5
trailing_level_raw191.7857
trailing_level_tick191.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price224.324
atr1413.3571
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop197.6097
tick_rounded_reference_stop197.0
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares3000.0
broker_average_price174.59
position_id3
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close218.5
daily_change0.23
atr1413.3571
ma20231.6
ma60309.4917
ma100274.13
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:NOW 🔥;1. 漲價循環再起:2026/06/28 中國大廠南通江海調漲報價。立隆電身為台系鋁電龍頭,且子公司立敦供應鋁箔,具備垂直整合優勢,在成本驅動與供需轉緊下,漲價轉嫁能力強。;2. 日系廠商退場商機:Panasonic 停止生產部分 OS-CON 料號,立隆電 Hybrid 與 Polymer 產品已通過認證,成為 NVIDIA VR200
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.

3042 晶技 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop
whole_position_raw_initial_stop46.4286
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop46.4
runner_level185.5
trailing_level_raw157.9286
trailing_level_tick157.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

statusNO_POSITIVE_LATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
whole_position_fallbackMANAGEMENT_REFERENCE

Position

quantity_shares1.0
broker_average_price74.0
position_id4
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close185.5
daily_change0.27
atr1413.7857
ma20176.2
ma60190.525
ma100176.945
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthwatch
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary⚠️ 位階待 LLM 分析後補充。定錨主要透過週報提及,無個股報告。;晶技是全球前三大石英頻率元件廠,產品涵蓋石英晶體(Crystal)、石英振盪器(Oscillator)、溫度補償振盪器(TCXO),應用於 5G 通訊、AI 伺服器、車用電子、光通訊等。;近期催化劑;AI 伺服器需求:高階石英元件切入 AI 伺服器與光通訊時脈應用
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_source
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.; No positive latest BUY lot evidence available; whole-position risk uses MANAGEMENT_REFERENCE.

3680 家登 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop
whole_position_raw_initial_stop355.5
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop355.0
runner_level488.0
trailing_level_raw449.0
trailing_level_tick449.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

statusNO_POSITIVE_LATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
whole_position_fallbackMANAGEMENT_REFERENCE

Position

quantity_shares10.0
broker_average_price394.5
position_id5
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close488.0
daily_change5.74
atr1419.5
ma20449.7
ma60484.2167
ma100494.505
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:LATER;催化劑在 2027+,持有 10 股;核心驅動力:EUV Pod 龍頭,受惠先進製程擴產長期趨勢;家登是全球 EUV Pod(光罩盒)領導供應商,隨台積電、Intel 先進製程擴產,EUV Pod 出貨量穩定成長。2026 年財測營收 YoY+27~33%,動能來自
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_source
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.; No positive latest BUY lot evidence available; whole-position risk uses MANAGEMENT_REFERENCE.

4906 4906 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop34.5244
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop34.5
whole_position_raw_initial_stop34.5214
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop34.5
runner_level37.35
trailing_level_raw34.4714
trailing_level_tick34.4
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price37.353
atr141.4143
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop34.5244
tick_rounded_reference_stop34.5
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares2000.0
broker_average_price37.35
position_id6
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close37.3
daily_change7.96
atr141.4143
ma2034.695
ma6039.0175
ma10039.157
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:NEXT 🔜(轉型陣痛期未完,等待印度5G FWA量產);持有 3,000 股,但定錨覆蓋度偏低(19篇提及,無追蹤更新中的獨立個股報告)。正文正處於 ODM Direct 商業模式轉型的陣痛期——從傳統經由系統整合商出貨,轉為直接供應電信營運商。此轉型導致營收大幅衰退(YoY -40~45%),基本面仍未落底。;定錨觀點:⭐⭐(待印度專案放量、光收發
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.

4931 新盛力 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop235.5973
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop235.0
whole_position_raw_initial_stop179.0243
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop179.0
runner_level255.5
trailing_level_raw221.7143
trailing_level_tick221.0
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price269.383
atr1416.8929
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop235.5973
tick_rounded_reference_stop235.0
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares5000.0
broker_average_price212.81
position_id7
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close255.5
daily_change4.29
atr1416.8929
ma20237.325
ma60237.25
ma100211.93
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary位階:NOW 🔥 — 5.5KW/17KW BBU 放量進行中,Vera Rubin Power Shelf 2026Q4 出貨在即;2026 年最新觀點;2026-08-11 | 新盛力(4931):營運簡評 | 定錨預估 2026/2027 財測 EPS 上修至 9.28/21.43(前次 8.34/21.35)。5.5KW BBU 持續放量出貨,AI
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.

5425 台半 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop81.0177
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop81.0
whole_position_raw_initial_stop81.8457
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop81.5
runner_level96.6
trailing_level_raw84.7857
trailing_level_tick84.5
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price92.832
atr145.9071
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop81.0177
tick_rounded_reference_stop81.0
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares9000.0
broker_average_price93.66
position_id8
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close96.6
daily_change9.9
atr145.9071
ma2085.34
ma60100.4533
ma10089.934
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPARTIALLY_PROVEN
summary1. Nexperia 轉單 — 2026 最核心催化劑;2025/10 荷蘭與中國政府爭執導致 Nexperia 晶圓斷供,引發全球供應鏈危機;台半產品線(小訊號 MOSFET、功率 MOSFET、二極體、TVS)與 Nexperia 高度重疊;2026Q1 末開始接獲轉單洽詢 → Q2 驗證完成 → 轉單正式發酵
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.

8042 金山電 E7_MANAGEMENT_OVERLAY

decision

statusMANUAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
reasonoverlay is decision support, not an order signal

E7 Exit Management

overlayTrue
formal_lifecycleFalse
initial_stop_basislatest positive BUY evidence; fallback broker average as management reference
latest_lot_raw_initial_stop131.8947
latest_lot_tick_rounded_stop131.5
whole_position_raw_initial_stop143.0757
whole_position_tick_rounded_stop143.0
runner_level158.39
trailing_level_raw83.6857
trailing_level_tick83.5
trail_basiscurrent close - 2×ATR14; overlay only

Latest Buy Risk

cost_basis_typeLATEST_BUY_EVIDENCE
entry_reference_price147.209
atr147.6571
atr_multiplier2.0
raw_initial_stop131.8947
tick_rounded_reference_stop131.5
tick_policyprotective floor; Taiwan listed-stock bands

Position

quantity_shares3000.0
broker_average_price158.39
position_id9
statusOPEN

Technical

as_of2026-08-26
close99.0
daily_change0.1
atr147.6571
ma20106.9
ma60142.6817
ma100121.764
bars_used_through2026-08-26
sourceShioaji

Early Warning

v2_healthabnormal
institutional_sourcev2 report, non-authoritative supplement

Fundamental/Thesis

statusPROVEN
summary位階:NOW 🔥;1. 產業順風+漲價效應:2026/06/28 中國鋁電大廠南通江海宣佈調漲報價,主因鋁箔與電費成本上升。預期台系廠商將跟進,金山電可望受惠於報價上調帶動利差擴大。;2. 成功切入一線供應鏈:高壓牛角電容已通過台達電(2308)驗證,成為首家非日系供應商,打破日系壟斷。;3. 規格升級帶動用量:AI 伺服器 PSU 功率由 5.5KW(搭載
sourcev2 report supplement

Provenance/Data Quality

as_of2026-08-26
broker_as_of2026-08-26T22:46:39+08:00
market_sourceshioaji_kline.db:stock_kline
holding_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_current
lot_sourceportfolio_history.db:holdings_position_detail_evidence
data_qualityNo formal E7 lifecycle inferred from broker reconstruction.; E7 values are current management overlay only.; v2 commentary is supplementary and not used as E7 lifecycle evidence.